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A 100% Way To Become The Best Handicapper at Your Hometown Track, Forever!!!

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In all candor (and I swear I'm not trying to be insulting), in the year 2024, and probably since the year 2016, traditional handicapping simply doesn't work or win. Again, at the risk of sounding redundant (or insulting), if you are still a "Traditional Handicapper" then, you might as well call yourself a dinosaur! Another obvious problem with TH (Traditional Handicapping), is that everyone doing it has a very real tendency to come up with the same horse or horses - and that, simply put, is just being a sheep instead of becoming the shepherd.  Keep reading and take control of your handicapping future. Your days of being a perennial loser or at best mediocre are almost over!  Step 1: Place each horse's ML in the designated cell (Cell-B).  Step 2: Add up the 4 best from L5 and place in the C-Cell/parenthesis (as seen below). Click to Enlarge! In Predictive Modeling, the goal is to interpret the data in a way that makes the decision-making process as easy as possible

Who to Bet for The Preakness

In 1988, any decent horseplayer knew that when the filly Winning Colors won the Kentucky Derby, she wasn't going to win the Preakness. That year, the third-place horse, Risen Star, was a LOCK! You see, the horse had just enough traffic problems around the final turn (and into the early part of the stretch), that 3rd was the best the horse could do - and, the horse was never really asked to go full out! On Preakness Day, the horse was overlooked from its 9-2ML and from its performance/troubled trip from the Derby and went off a very handsome 6-1; paying $15.60 to win! Then, on Belmont Day the horse was the resounding favorite and won by a pole!!! Well, I don't see any of yesterday's Top-3  winning this year's Preakness. The race was taxing for all-3, and the 4th Place finisher (Catching Freedom), had a pretty easy trip (following the winner along the rail), but, the horse ate a ton of dirt - and it "Ran in Spots". I mean, with 3/16ths to go, I thought he was go

Does The Curse of Post 17 Continue....? Or, Do One of These Six Wear The Blanket of Roses?

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This post is sponsored by BUSR.com.  JOIN NOW!!! Well, the Kentucky Derby is literally about 55 hours away (at the time of the writing of this post). And, we're playing (7) total horses to win the Run for the Roses.  Right now, at BUSR.com >>> Referral Link:  https://www.busr.ag/?reff=USR137142&site=busr.ag&ref=refer_friend&signup-modal=open  one can get 10-1 odds on "There will be a Triple Crown Winner." Typically, the odds each year are only +7.5 to 8-1. So, right off the bat, there's value in this bet, because, whichever horse wins on Saturday, your bet will be alive going into the Preakness.  That awful-looking paragraph above leads us to why  #17 Fierceness could be the overlay of the Century! You see, if he's able to overcome the 17 post jinx (never been a #17 winning saddlecloth number in the Derby), and he were to win by say 7 lengths, then, the horse would likely be a 1-2er on Preakness Day and if he were to win that race, he'd l

If You're Not Winning, Then, You ARE Doing Something Wrong

Assuming that you follow me on Twitter, you know that all my posts are timestamped - and the word 'Redboarding' isn't even in my vocabulary! You'll also know that I have a win rate of about 67%. Yes, I win 2 out of every 3 bets I post - and I have never gone on any prolonged losing streak, on Twitter.  Now, you might be asking yourself... . "How's that possible? I'm lucky if I have one 60% month out of a whole year."  Well, the answer is: I don't mind being risk averse, and I'm not shy about being straddled with the moniker of "TheHedgeMasterGeneral".  How could I have a win rate of about 67%, and have never gone on a prolonged losing streak, on Twitter? The answer is that I don't mind being risk averse, and I'm not shy about being called "TheHedgeMasterGeneral." My Father taught me long ago to "leave my ego at the proverbial door". That's advice that I didn't take to heart until I was in my mid-20s

The Wonderful World of Predictive Modeling

As it says in my bio to the left, I was lucky enough to find my first 15 minutes of fame at the tender age of 10. My father was a harness trainer/driver for nearly 30 years, and I was constantly in his ear, picking his brain. Prior to becoming a harness horseman, he was an engineer. So, the high intellect gene flows through me (born with slight CP on my left side), and within my other (9) brothers and sisters. For those of you who still believe that the past is the greatest predictor of future events, well, I have a news flash for all of you: You're wrong! That logic wasn't meant to be applied to sports and/or horse handicappers—it was meant for scientists (of many other disciplines) and for immunologists, that's literally it! As for gamblers, hell no!  You see, the operative word in the phrase 'Past Performances' is 'Past'! As in, one cannot change the past nor expect it to be a proper barometer as a reference point for prognostication. By age 26, I came to